Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1074.193349 1229.984028 1407.858496 1627.581157 1893.919281 2209.172675 2614.858569
2025-01-05 826.683175 1015.350002 1251.942264 1576.157323 2018.182212 2614.119434 3504.414554
2025-01-12 702.656055 897.650792 1155.640808 1531.623237 2082.838314 2891.275856 4228.844803
2025-01-19 610.446833 804.341676 1072.050774 1482.284353 2121.501765 3130.066671 4960.341349
2025-01-26 573.514787 778.763782 1074.291935 1550.619128 2341.033029 3689.192679 6400.691447
2025-02-02 536.294109 746.820997 1060.910778 1589.752365 2517.646379 4217.152733 7987.984220
2025-02-09 503.217121 716.356838 1044.452137 1618.942017 2679.838948 4758.132429 9837.429928
2025-02-16 467.349359 677.369623 1009.099591 1609.295718 2767.102284 5172.840390 11593.638332
2025-02-23 447.152398 660.622046 1007.244279 1657.146882 2973.027843 5896.895063 14559.925937
2025-03-02 428.229871 643.808385 1002.852793 1698.806177 3174.327736 6675.085763 18216.541954
2025-03-09 405.392039 618.283861 980.378346 1702.085812 3293.533440 7292.391396 21828.052697
2025-03-16 381.036718 588.086838 946.457627 1677.707493 3345.277676 7750.957943 25251.599899
2025-03-23 364.915882 571.905244 938.388801 1709.584078 3548.817711 8752.840251 32221.943184
2025-03-30 338.612218 536.004865 890.724992 1652.541758 3524.955937 9078.931026 36525.762148
2025-04-06 316.469384 505.698267 850.569833 1605.821273 3517.023558 9456.451941 41697.131388
2025-04-13 295.782386 476.547464 810.084388 1553.205718 3483.349487 9741.447539 46864.709133
2025-04-20 290.729879 475.461219 824.082331 1625.892570 3812.644863 11504.669065 66151.959762
2025-04-27 282.659231 468.084239 824.718640 1667.501491 4065.622223 13141.074316 89883.824758
2025-05-04 274.113822 459.129389 821.204797 1698.565698 4296.708837 14850.789852 121859.755778
2025-05-11 262.472197 443.409614 802.176295 1688.298928 4394.676983 16024.626580 153632.801096
2025-05-18 256.896837 439.062779 806.779858 1739.233126 4712.739750 18567.156229 227061.373010
2025-05-25 251.045721 433.730984 808.719323 1783.598572 5024.372332 21390.309357 342377.475083
2025-06-01 242.433587 422.296681 796.219159 1787.092168 5189.489502 23518.979086 478128.260970